Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.701626 7.346255 8.043189 8.855635 9.780465 10.804843 12.031380
2026-02-08 5.722998 6.561038 7.523412 8.720344 10.183155 11.931224 14.206520
2026-02-15 5.097550 6.018975 7.120534 8.552700 10.392798 12.716373 15.936810
2026-02-22 4.688074 5.667688 6.877490 8.508897 10.695104 13.590023 17.832013
2026-03-01 4.267837 5.254056 6.503042 8.236372 10.638734 13.945637 19.022203
2026-03-08 3.874270 4.838580 6.084565 7.854299 10.375690 13.960231 19.684844
2026-03-15 3.625590 4.591943 5.865380 7.716192 10.427144 14.410017 21.037348
2026-03-22 3.663286 4.726617 6.165070 8.321624 11.602516 16.648872 25.552388
2026-03-29 3.558645 4.656402 6.171298 8.497370 12.142626 17.957858 28.720358
2026-04-05 3.357295 4.437460 5.949701 8.312552 12.097408 18.302766 30.214529
2026-04-12 3.258703 4.357749 5.922419 8.417757 12.520020 19.470686 33.423862
2026-04-19 3.105133 4.189591 5.753458 8.287326 12.538362 19.931195 35.317680
2026-04-26 2.965436 4.039071 5.608616 8.195181 12.630919 20.568030 37.765117
2026-05-03 2.829425 3.887327 5.453426 8.075218 12.664693 21.101787 40.105478
2026-05-10 2.697255 3.734425 5.287175 7.923669 12.625772 21.487094 42.183223
2026-05-17 2.601254 3.631440 5.192496 7.884083 12.783380 22.273345 45.361358
2026-05-24 2.466373 3.462675 4.984957 7.637618 12.535021 22.206030 46.430096
2026-05-31 2.318898 3.268711 4.728534 7.291639 12.072079 21.644586 46.138003
2026-06-07 2.227606 3.158804 4.602629 7.166449 12.021971 21.952470 48.206268
2026-06-14 2.278638 3.274136 4.848090 7.714745 13.335640 25.405089 59.875470
2026-06-21 2.249497 3.259908 4.877769 7.873663 13.884675 27.222772 67.416156
2026-06-28 2.161567 3.147197 4.736433 7.706539 13.743034 27.389035 69.803175
2026-07-05 2.125745 3.117818 4.735051 7.801687 14.163187 28.979740 77.424221